Mixed-methods simulation model development

Here’s a video of short talk I gave at the 2017 American Meteorological Society Meeting in Seattle about how both qualitative and quantitative methods can be used to design, calibrate, and evaluation simulation models. I spent a good amount of time talking about applications to disaster recovery and resilience. video link

Human Centered (Re-)Design of HAZUS-MH for Community Resilience

Last year I joined University of Washington’s Department of Human Centered Design and Engineering. A new research center was started a little before that called Center for Collaborative Systems for Security, Safety and Regional Resilience. The gist of the mission of CoSSaR is that community resilience requires putting people and communities first in helping them …

What is disaster research?

Have you ever wondered just what disaster research is and how resilience fits into that field? I had the fortune to be asked by the National Academy of Science and Kavli Foundation to talk about just that topic. You’ll recognize many topics I’ve discussed on ResilScience throughout this video. It’s only 20 minutes long, there …

Rolling the Dice to Simulate Resilience

So far I’ve written one or more posts about representing community resilience conceptually (and many other posts), quantitatively (and this one), and visually (and). I haven’t talked about how one might go about algorithmically representing resilience—loss and bouncing back from that loss. None of those other representations allow you to pose “what if” questions and simulate the answers to them. How fast is …

The Calculus of Community Resilience

Bruneau et al. (2003), as well as many great studies based on their formative ideas, define metrics of resilience based on the area under the curve representing the quality or quantity of some indicator over time. (Technically, they define resilience based on the size of the “resilience triangle” above the curve—see their Figure 1—but the …

Analyses shows all communities are resilient

An assertion can’t be proven by a lack of evidence to the contrary, but that’s what I’m going to do anyway. Have you ever read a study or seen a report where the result of the analysis was that the resilience of the particular community was zero? The sum of all the normalized demographic variables …

Resilience on adderall: Visualizing hyper data

Like I mentioned briefly here, it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to try to characterize resilience using methods that spit out a single number–at least not from a theoretical perspective, at least not without without greater representational context methodologically. This is because of the complexity of community resilience. This complexity is only evident from …